Probability assessment and prediction method for escape area of underwater lost targets

SUN Jihong; ZHENG Yi; YANG Xiangfeng

doi:10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

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SUN Jihong, ZHENG Yi, YANG Xiangfeng. Probability assessment and prediction method for escape area of underwater lost targets[J]. Journal of Unmanned Undersea Systems. doi: 10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

Citation:

SUN Jihong, ZHENG Yi, YANG Xiangfeng. Probability assessment and prediction method for escape area of underwater lost targets[J]. Journal of Unmanned Undersea Systems. doi: 10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

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Probability assessment and prediction method for escape area of underwater lost targets

doi: 10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

SUN Jihong^1
,,
ZHENG Yi^{1
,
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YANG Xiangfeng^2
,

1.
Naval Equipment Department, Xi′an 710054, China
2.
The 705 Research Institute, China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, Xi′an 710077, China

Received Date: 2025-04-26
Accepted Date: 2026-02-02
Rev Recd Date: 2026-02-01

Available Online: 2026-07-07

Abstract

Abstract

In the complex environment where underwater high-speed maneuvering vehicles face both real and decoy targets, incorrect target selection may lead to the escape of actual high-value targets. Traditional non-targeted re-search strategies are inefficient, necessitating an in-depth analysis of high-value target countermeasure strategies, comprehensive consideration of their maneuverability and tactical choices, and the formulation of targeted counter-countermeasure and re-search strategies. Based on the analysis of high-value target countermeasure strategies, this paper constructs a target escape area model and proposes a probability assessment method for lost target escape areas, aiming to predict the escape probability of targets within the countermeasure area. This method helps improve the success rate of target re-search, reduce the underwater high-speed maneuvering vehicle's search time, and enhance overall search efficiency.
- Active acoustic homing,
- counter-countermeasure strategy,
- escape area prediction,
- target maneuver model,
- probability assessment

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References(14)

References

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