Probability Estimation and Prediction Methods of Escape Area for Underwater Lost Targets

SUN Jihong; ZHENG Yi; YANG Xiangfeng

doi:10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

Volume 34 Issue 4

Aug 2026

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Article Navigation > Journal of Unmanned Undersea Systems > 2026 > 34(4): 677-686

SUN Jihong, ZHENG Yi, YANG Xiangfeng. Probability Estimation and Prediction Methods of Escape Area for Underwater Lost Targets[J]. Journal of Unmanned Undersea Systems, 2026, 34(4): 677-686. doi: 10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

Citation:

SUN Jihong, ZHENG Yi, YANG Xiangfeng. Probability Estimation and Prediction Methods of Escape Area for Underwater Lost Targets[J]. Journal of Unmanned Undersea Systems, 2026, 34(4): 677-686. doi: 10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

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Probability Estimation and Prediction Methods of Escape Area for Underwater Lost Targets

doi: 10.11993/j.issn.2096-3920.2025-0062

SUN Jihong^1
,,
ZHENG Yi^{2
,
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YANG Xiangfeng^2
,

1.
Naval Equipment Department, Xi’an 710054, China
2.
Xi’an Precision Machinery Research Institute, Xi’an 710077, China

Received Date: 2025-04-26
Accepted Date: 2026-02-02
Rev Recd Date: 2026-02-01

Available Online: 2026-07-07

Abstract

Abstract

In the complex underwater acoustic countermeasures where underwater high-speed maneuvering platforms face the coexistence of true and false targets, incorrect target selection may lead to the escape of true high-value targets. Traditional non-targeted research strategies are inefficient, necessitating an in-depth analysis of high-value target countermeasure strategies, comprehensive consideration of their maneuverability and tactical choices, and the formulation of targeted counter-countermeasure and research strategies. Based on the analysis of high-value target countermeasure strategies, a target escape area model was constructed, and a probability estimation method was proposed for lost target escape areas to predict the escape probability of targets within the countermeasure area. The simulation results indicate that this method helps improve the success rate of target re-search and reduce the search time of underwater high-speed maneuvering platforms, thus enhancing overall search efficiency.
- underwater high-speed maneuvering platform,
- counter-countermeasure strategy,
- escape area prediction,
- target maneuver model,
- probability estimation

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References(14)

References

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