Bayesian Assessment Method of Loading Reliability for Rocket-Assisted Torpedo

According to the characteristics of complex system and small sample number of rocket-assisted torpedo, we estimate loading reliability by using Bayesian assessment method to fuse a prior information. The Kullback informa-tion method and the optimization method are adopted to rectify the subjective problem in traditional environmental fac-tor calculation and test scenario design, and enhance the accuracy and objectivity of test scheme. Concrete assessment scenario is given on condition that the risk of consumer equals that of producer according to preset tactical and technical specifications.