Modeling and Simulation on Operational Effectiveness of Remote Decoy UUV Covering Submarine
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摘要: 远程诱骗型无人水下航行器(UUV)是一种可提升体系作战能力的新型水下信息战武器, 由于作战过程独立, 作战范围广, 其使命任务与传统自航式诱饵有显著区别, 目前对其作战效能的系统研究较少。文中依据远程诱骗型UUV作战过程及使命任务, 提出了其掩护潜艇作战效能评价指标。通过对比分析反潜巡逻机搜潜概率模型, 构建了单枚远程诱骗型UUV诱骗反潜巡逻机概率模型, 结合其诱骗反潜巡逻机过程, 定义了战术对抗周期, 并构建了诱骗反潜巡逻机的牵制时间模型, 依据多枚远程诱骗型UUV的作战使用特点, 建立了多枚诱饵诱骗反潜巡逻机的诱骗概率模型和牵制时间模型; 依据现有经验建立了远程诱骗型UUV诱骗水下监听系统概率模型, 在此基础上系统分析了诱骗型UUV掩护潜艇突破封锁的作战效能。基于典型作战想定, 采用蒙特卡洛法进行了诱骗型UUV掩护潜艇突破反潜巡逻机和水下监听系统组成的反潜体系的作战效能仿真, 仿真结果表明, 远程诱骗型UUV作战效能与其航速、数量及突防战术等因素有关, 最后给出了提升远程诱骗型UUV作战效能的方法和措施。Abstract: According to the mission and combat process of the long-range decoy unmanned undersea vehicle(UUV), its op-erational effectiveness specification for covering submarine operation is put forward. By comparing and analyzing the probability model of anti-submarine patrol aircraft searching submarine, a probability model of single long-range decoy UUV deceiving anti-submarine patrol aircraft is constructed. Considering the process of deceiving anti-submarine patrol aircraft, the tactical countermeasure cycle is defined, and the diversion time model is constructed. According to the operational characteristics of multiple decoy UUVs, the probability model and the containment time model of multiple decoys are established. And the probability model of deceiving underwater monitoring system is established based on existing experience to systematically analyze the operational effectiveness of long-range decoy UUV covering submarines to break through blockade. Monte Carlo method is used to simulate the operational effectiveness of long-range decoy UUV covering submarine to break through the anti-submarine system composed of anti-submarine patrol aircraft and underwater monitoring system. Simulation results show that the speed, number, tactics and other factors have important influences on the operational effectiveness of long-range decoy UUV. Finally, some methods and measures for improving the operational effectiveness of long-range decoy UUV are given.
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