Evaluation Method for Working Reliability of Aerial Depth Bomb in Sea Trial
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摘要: 实航工作可靠度是航空深弹鉴定试验中需要考核的主要指标, 文中利用航空深弹正样产品试验数据作为验前信息, 依据二项分布Bayes方法确定试验现场抽样方案。计算结果表明, 在验前信息充分且成功率较高时,应用Bayes假设检验方法不仅能缩短装备研制周期、节约投入, 也能够提高试验结论的置信度, 促进小样本统计理论的工程运用研究。Abstract: The working reliability of aerial depth bomb in sea trial is a necessary evaluation indicator for product qualification test. We take the test data of the product as prior information to determine the test sampling plan based on Bayes hypothesis testing for binomial distribution. Calculation result indicates that Bayes hypothesis testing method can help shorten development period of the equipment, save spending, promote the engineering application research of small sample statistical theory, and enhance confidence level of experiment conclusions.
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Key words:
- aerial depth bomb /
- working reliability in sea trial /
- prior information /
- Bayes method
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