一种自航水雷障碍毁伤舰船概率计算方法

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基金项目: 部级国防科技预研基金项目(4010605030301); 海军大连舰艇学院科研发展基金[2012]

A Calculation Method of Surface Warship Damage Probability by Mobile Mine Obstacle

1.
College of Marine Engineering, Northwestern Ploytechnical University, Xi′an 710072, China
2.
Department of Un-derwater Weaponry and Chemical Defense, Dalian Naval Academy, Dalian 116018, China

摘要: 基于误差相关性分析了自航水雷雷位散布特性, 并综合考虑水雷布放成功率、动作概率和布放误差等因素的影响, 运用概率论给出了一种自航水雷障碍毁伤舰船概率的解析计算方法, 计算结果验证了该方法的正确性, 可为自航水雷封锁作战决策科学化研究提供参考。
- 自航水雷 /
- 散布特性 /
- 毁伤概率
Abstract: The dispersion characteristic of a mobile mine is analyzed according to error correlation, and an analytical model of damage probability of the mine obstacle to surface warship is proposed by considering the influencing factors such as the probability of success to deploy mine, the action probability, and the deployment error. Numerical results demonstrate the availability and correctness of the proposed method.
- mobile mine /
- dispersion characteristic /
- damage probability

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