Evaluation of Torpedo Loading Reliability in Commission
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摘要: 为研究鱼雷服役期间装载可靠性的分析计算问题, 根据鱼雷历次艇上装载数据, 运用故障时间等分内插法, 估计各故障发生时间, 绘制装载状态与故障时序图, 统计鱼雷在不同服役年份的装载故障数与装载时间, 分别运用经典法与Bayes方法计算装载可靠性, 得出鱼雷装载质量随服役时间的变化情况。实例计算表明, 应用鱼雷服役期间艇上装载数据能够在工程上满足服役期间鱼雷装载可靠性的分析计算需要。Abstract: To evaluate loading reliability of a torpedo in commission, according to historical loading information of a torpedo, fault occurring time is predicted by using interpolation method of aliquot fault time. Subsequently, torpedo loading sequence diagram and loading fault sequence diagram are drawn, loading fault number and loading time in every service year are counted, and loading reliability is calculated with classical approach and Bayes method, respectively. And the variation of torpedo loading mass with service time is obtained. An example indicates that loading information of a torpedo in service duration can meet the requirement of evaluation of torpedo loading reliability for engineering application.
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Key words:
- torpedo /
- loading reliability /
- interpolation method of aliquot fault time /
- Bayes
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