Maintainability Prediction Method Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process
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摘要: 通过对目前常用维修性预计方法的分析, 并针对武器装备的维修性要求, 结合相关理论与方法, 提出了基于层次分析法(AHP)的单元对比预计方法。该方法不仅满足武器装备定性和定量的要求, 而且不需要很大的历史数据样本和试验数据样本, 只需对武器装备的维修任务剖面进行分析, 确定基准单元及其维修数据, 然后通过各单元与基准单元的比对, 进而得到武器装备的维修数据, 具有简单、适用、节省开支的特点，更便于维修性设计。最后应用于鱼雷发射装置证明了该方法的有效性和可行性。Abstract: Through analyzing the existing methods of maintainability prediction and considering the requirement of weaponry maintainability, a unit-contrastive prediction method based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is presented. This method can meet the qualitative and quantitative requirements of weaponry without asking huge number of historical data and test data samples. With this method, the maintenance data of weaponry can be achieved by analyzing the profile of maintenance tasks of weaponry to determine reference unit and its maintenance data, and comparing the other units with the reference unit. This method is simple, applicable and cost-saving, especially is convenient for maintainability design. Application of this method to actual torpedo launch tube verifies its effectiveness and feasibility.
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