Application of FAHP to Torpedo Operational Effectiveness Evaluation
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摘要: 鱼雷作为一个复杂的武器系统, 中间存在的诸多模糊的、不确定因素将导致鱼雷作战效能本身也存在一定的模糊性, 传统的评估方法忽视了这一点, 从而导致评估结果存在一定的风险性。该文在多型鱼雷作战效能评估比较中引入了模糊层次分析法( FAHP), 通过该方法把复杂的模糊问题分解为各个带有模糊性的组成因素, 通过两两比较确定层次中诸因素的相对重要性, 然后通过综合判断以决定诸因素相对重要性总的顺序。分析比较可知, 该方法由于考虑了系统模糊性的影响, 得到的评估结果更具安全性和可靠性, 从而在一定程度上能够减小评估结果的风险。Abstract: Torpedo system is a complex system with many fuzzy or uncertain factors, which to a certain extent lead to fuzzy operational effectiveness of torpedo. Traditional evaluation methods ignore this problem, inevitably resulting in a certain risk in the evaluation results. We introduce fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) into the operational effectiveness evaluations of several types of torpedoes to reduce the risk of evaluation results, decompose a complex problem in to a series of fuzzy factors, then determine the relative importance of each factor in every level by pair-wise comparison, and finally determine the sequence of the factors according to the irrelative importance, conclusions show that the evaluation results obtained by the proposed methods is more safety and reliable.
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