est Design of Operational Applicability for Torpedo Based on Bayes SPRT Method
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摘要: 从研究新型鱼雷作战试验鉴定出发，阐述了鱼雷作战适用性试验的重要意义，论述了如何基于Bayes 序贯概率比检验 (SPRT）方法进行鱼雷作战适用性试验设计，说明了作战试验样本的确定，利用A.Wald提出的序贯概率比检验引出Bayes SPRT方法，定量明确了试验方案，最后采用Bayes SPRT方法作出了不同验前概率下的Bayes截尾SPRT方案，为海上靶场新武器作战适用性试验研究提供参考。
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关键词:
- 鱼雷 /
- 作战适用性 /
- 序贯概率比检验（SPRT) /
- 试验设计 /
- 试验鉴定
Abstract: For the operational test evaluation of modern torpedo, we discuss the significance of the test of operational applicability for torpedo, describe the way to design the test of operational applicability for torpedo by using Bayes sequential probability ratio test(SPRT), and illustrate the selection of the test sample. By introducing Wald′s SPRT into Bayes SPRT method, we determine a test scheme quantitatively, and present a Bayes cut-off SPRT scheme under different pre-test probabilities. This test design method may offer a reference for the research on the test of operational applicability for modern weapons on sea range. -
[1] 李春峰.水中兵器试验与鉴定展望［J］.海上靶场学术,2005(10):61-63. [2] 曲宝中,孙晓峰.海军战术导弹试验与鉴定［M］.北京:国防工业出版社,2005. [3] 李惕碚.实验的数据处理［M］.北京:科学出版社,1980. [4] 唐雪梅,张金槐,邵凤昌,等.武器装备小子样试验分析与评估［M］.北京:国防工业出版社,2001. -
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